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Bayesian Nash Equilibrium


Definition

In a Bayesian game ⟨N,{Ai},{Θi},{vi},p⟩\langle N,\{A_i\},\{\Theta_i\},\{v_i\},p\rangle, a profile of pure strategies s∗=(s1∗,…,sn∗)s^*=(s_1^*,\dots,s_n^*) with si∗ ⁣:Θi→Ais_i^*\colon\Theta_i\to A_i is a Bayesian Nash equilibrium (BNE) if for every player ii, every type θi\theta_i with p(θi)>0p(\theta_i)>0 and every action ai∈Aia_i\in A_i,

∑θ−ip(θ−i∣θi) vi(si∗(θi),s−i∗(θ−i);θ)≥∑θ−ip(θ−i∣θi) vi(ai,s−i∗(θ−i);θ).\sum_{\theta_{-i}}p(\theta_{-i}\mid\theta_i)\,v_i\big(s_i^*(\theta_i),s_{-i}^*(\theta_{-i});\theta\big) \ge\sum_{\theta_{-i}}p(\theta_{-i}\mid\theta_i)\,v_i\big(a_i,s_{-i}^*(\theta_{-i});\theta\big).

That is, each type's prescribed action is a best response to the other players' type-contingent strategies, given that type's beliefs. Mixed BNE are defined in the same way with mixed actions for each type.


Interpretation

A BNE is a Nash equilibrium in which "player" is replaced by "player-type". Each type maximizes a conditional expectation of her payoff given her own type, and the expectation is taken over the others' types and hence over their type-dependent actions. Players need not know what the others will actually do; they know the others' strategies, the maps from types to actions.

The condition is imposed type by type (interim), but it is equivalent to an ex ante condition: s∗s^* is a BNE if and only if it is a Nash equilibrium of the normal-form game whose strategies are the maps sis_i and whose payoffs are ex ante expected payoffs ∑θp(θ)vi(s(θ);θ)\displaystyle \sum_\theta p(\theta)v_i(s(\theta);\theta), provided every type has positive probability. Maximizing an average with positive weights is the same as maximizing each term.

A common mistake is to check only the type that is "actually realized". Every type must be optimizing, because the other players' incentives depend on what the unrealized types would do.


Key Results


Examples

Contribution game. Each player i∈{1,2}i\in\{1,2\} chooses CC (contribute) or DD (decline); the good (worth 1 to each) is provided if at least one contributes; contributing costs θi∈{14,2}\theta_i\in\{\tfrac{1}{4},2\}, independently low with probability qq.

  1. High-cost type: CC gives 1−2=−11-2=-1, DD gives at least 0, so she plays DD.
  2. Low-cost type: CC gives 1−14=341-\tfrac{1}{4}=\tfrac{3}{4}. DD gives 1 times the probability that the other contributes, which is at most qq, because the other's high type never contributes.
  3. With q=12q=\tfrac{1}{2}: DD gives at most 12<34\tfrac{1}{2}<\tfrac{3}{4}, so the low type contributes.

The unique BNE is si∗(14)=Cs_i^*(\tfrac{1}{4})=C, si∗(2)=Ds_i^*(2)=D for both players; the good is provided with probability 1−14=341-\tfrac{1}{4}=\tfrac{3}{4}.

Changing the prior. The profile in step 3 remains a BNE if and only if q≤34q\le\tfrac{3}{4}. For q>34q>\tfrac{3}{4} a low-cost type would rather free-ride on the other's low type; then, for example, "only player 1's low type contributes" is a BNE (player 2's low type gets q>34q>\tfrac{3}{4} from DD, and player 1's low type gets 34>0\tfrac{3}{4}>0 from CC).

Low-cost type's payoff against the prior q in the contribution game: contributing gives the constant 3/4, declining gives q, and the lines cross at q = 3/4, with q = 1/2 marked.

The figure fixes the other player's strategy at the candidate profile, so that her low type contributes and her high type declines. A low-cost type then gets 1−14=341-\tfrac{1}{4}=\tfrac{3}{4} from CC and qq from DD. At q=12q=\tfrac{1}{2} the CC line lies above the DD line, which is step 3; the shaded region q≤34q\le\tfrac{3}{4} is where the profile remains a BNE, and to the right of the threshold declining and free-riding pays more.

Move the prior qq past 34\tfrac34: declining then pays the low-cost type more than contributing, and the profile stops being a BNE. A lower contribution cost moves the threshold 1−θi1-\theta_i to the right.


Prerequisites



Sources

Aliases: BNE, Bayesian equilibrium, Bayes–Nash equilibrium, Bayes-Nash equilibrium Keywords: type-contingent best response, interim expected payoff, ex ante normal form, equilibrium with private information, free-riding with private costs Symbols: element of, sum, theta

Last updated: 22 October 2026 19:04