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Pooling Equilibrium


Definition

In a signalling game, a pooling equilibrium is a perfect Bayesian equilibrium in which every type of the sender chooses the same message m∗m^*. On the path the receiver's belief after m∗m^* equals the common prior,

μ(θ∣m∗)=p(θ)for every type θ,\mu(\theta\mid m^*)=p(\theta)\qquad\text{for every type } \theta,

and the receiver best responds to the prior. Every other message m≠m∗m\ne m^* is off the equilibrium path, and the beliefs μ(⋅∣m)\mu(\cdot\mid m) there are part of the equilibrium but not restricted by Bayes' rule.


Interpretation

In a pooling equilibrium the message carries no information: the receiver learns nothing it did not already know. This can happen even when types differ a lot, as long as no type gains from breaking away.

Payoffs against the off-path belief mu' after m = 1: a flat green line at the pooling payoff 0, a blue step from -1 to 1 at mu' = 1/2 for H, and a dashed step from -3 to -1 for L.

The figure checks the "pooling on the free message" example for every possible off-path belief μ′=μ(1)\mu'=\mu(1). Staying at m=0m=0 is rejected and pays both types 00 (green). Deviating to m=1m=1 pays 00 if the receiver rejects, which she does when μ′<12\mu'<\tfrac{1}{2}, and 22 if she accepts, which she does when μ′>12\mu'>\tfrac{1}{2}, minus the cost: −1-1 or 11 for HH, and −3-3 or −1-1 for LL. The LL payoff never reaches 00, and the HH payoff stays below it exactly when the receiver rejects m=1m=1, so the shaded beliefs μ′≤12\mu'\le\tfrac{1}{2} support the pooling equilibrium, while beliefs above 12\tfrac{1}{2} make HH break away.

Move the off-path belief μ′\mu': pooling on m=0m=0 survives while μ′≤12\mu'\le\tfrac12, so that the receiver rejects m=1m=1. Raise cHc_H above 22 and every belief supports pooling.

Whether a type gains from deviating depends on how the receiver would interpret the deviation, that is, on the off-path part of the system of beliefs. Pooling equilibria are typically supported by pessimistic off-path beliefs: any deviation is read as coming from the "bad" type, which makes deviation unattractive. Since PBE allows any off-path belief, many pooling equilibria can exist; forward induction, mentioned only briefly in the course, asks whether such beliefs are plausible.

A frequent mistake is to check only the on-path condition. A complete verification has three parts: on-path beliefs equal the prior; the receiver's actions are optimal after the pooled message and after each unused message given the stated beliefs; and no type prefers an unused message.


Key Results

  • On the path the posterior equals the prior, because all types send m∗m^* with probability one.
  • Fix a receiver action after m∗m^* that is a best response to the prior. Pooling on m∗m^* with that action is a PBE if and only if some off-path beliefs, with optimal receiver responses to them, make every type weakly prefer m∗m^* to every other message.
  • When the receiver's response is monotone in the belief, as in the example below, more pessimistic off-path beliefs make pooling easier to sustain; with sufficiently optimistic ones it can break down.
  • Pooling and separating equilibria can coexist and give different payoffs: in the example below type HH gets 00 when pooling and 2−1=12-1=1 in the separating equilibrium.

Examples

Pooling on the free message. In the signalling game example, type HH (prior p=0.4p=0.4) and type LL send m=0m=0 for free or m=1m=1 at cost cH=1c_H=1 or cL=3c_L=3. The receiver accepts (AA) or rejects (RR); accepting gives her 11 against HH and −1-1 against LL, rejecting gives 00, so with belief μ(m)=P(H∣m)\mu(m)=\mathbb{P}(H\mid m) she accepts if μ(m)>12\mu(m)>\tfrac{1}{2} and rejects if μ(m)<12\mu(m)<\tfrac{1}{2}. The sender gets 22 if accepted and 00 if rejected, minus her cost.

  • On path: μ(0)=0.4<12\mu(0)=0.4<\tfrac{1}{2}, so the receiver rejects after m=0m=0 and both types get 00.
  • Off path: let μ(1)=μ′\mu(1)=\mu'. If μ′<12\mu'<\tfrac{1}{2} the receiver rejects after m=1m=1, and deviating gives HH only −1<0-1<0 and LL only −3<0-3<0. If μ′>12\mu'>\tfrac{1}{2} she accepts, and HH would get 2−1=1>02-1=1>0, so HH deviates.

So pooling on m=0m=0, with rejection after both messages, is a PBE for every off-path belief μ′∈[0,12]\mu'\in[0,\tfrac{1}{2}] (at μ′=12\mu'=\tfrac{1}{2} the receiver is indifferent and rejecting is a best response), but not for μ′∈(12,1]\mu'\in(\tfrac{1}{2},1].

Pooling on the costly message. If both types chose m=1m=1, then μ(1)=0.4\mu(1)=0.4, the receiver rejects, and LL would get −3-3, while m=0m=0 gives at least 00 whatever μ(0)\mu(0) is. Hence pooling on m=1m=1 is not a PBE.


Prerequisites



Sources

Aliases: pooling PBE Keywords: all types send the same message, posterior equals prior, off-path beliefs, pessimistic beliefs, uninformative signal Symbols: element of, mu, theta

Last updated: 14 October 2026 08:21