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Compound Poisson Process


Definition

For a Poisson process N(t)N(t) of rate λ\lambda and i.i.d. severities Xi≥0X_i\ge0 independent of the entire process, the compound Poisson process is S(t)=∑i=1N(t)Xi\displaystyle S(t)=\sum_{i=1}^{N(t)}X_i, t≥0t\ge0. It records cumulative claims over time.


Interpretation

The path stays constant between claim arrivals and jumps by each arriving claim amount. A compound Poisson distribution describes one time horizon; this process describes all horizons consistently.

Step path of the cumulative claims S(t) over two years with jumps of 100 at four claim arrivals, drawn against the dashed straight line of the mean E[S(t)] = 200t.

The figure shows one possible path for the Example's portfolio (claim rate 2 per year, every claim 100), with claims arriving at the illustrative times 0.35, 0.8, 1.1 and 1.75. The path is flat between arrivals and jumps by the claim amount at each one; a filled dot marks the value at the arrival time, which already includes that claim. The dashed line is the mean E[S(t)]=λtE[X]=200t\mathbb{E}[S(t)]=\lambda t\mathbb{E}[X]=200t, which equals 100 at t=0.5t=0.5, as in the Example.

The Poisson process supplies both the number and timing of arrivals. Attaching one independent severity to each arrival produces the jumps; its independent increments, together with independent severities, give independent loss increments.


Key Results

  • S(t)S(t) is compound Poisson with frequency parameter λt\lambda t.
  • It has stationary independent increments: S(t+s)−S(s)S(t+s)-S(s) has the same law as S(t)S(t) for all s,t≥0s,t\ge0, and increments over disjoint intervals are independent.
  • E[S(t)]=λtE[X]\mathbb{E}[S(t)]=\lambda t\mathbb{E}[X] and Var⁡(S(t))=λtE[X2]\operatorname{Var}(S(t))=\lambda t\mathbb{E}[X^2] when finite.
  • The insurer's surplus (its capital) at time tt, starting from initial capital uu and collecting premiums at constant rate cc, is u+ct−S(t)u+ct-S(t). Ruin, the event that the surplus becomes negative at some time, is not developed here.

Examples

With claim rate 2 per year and fixed severity 100, S(0.5)=100N(0.5)S(0.5)=100N(0.5) and N(0.5)∼Pois⁡(1)N(0.5)\sim\operatorname{Pois}(1). Mean half-year loss is 100.


Prerequisites



Sources

Aliases: aggregate claims process, marked Poisson loss process, compound Poisson claims process, cumulative claims process, aggregate claim process Keywords: S(t) = X_1 + ... + X_N(t), stationary independent increments, surplus process, u + ct - S(t), Poisson claim arrivals Symbols: lambda, sum

Last updated: 17 October 2026 21:53