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Rating Factors and Interactions in Insurance GLMs


Definition

A rating factor is a covariate used in an insurance generalized linear model (GLM) to distinguish expected insured risk. A categorical factor with kk levels can be represented by k−1k-1 indicator variables relative to a reference level when an intercept is included. An interaction allows the effect of one factor to depend on another.


Interpretation

Under a log link, additive predictor terms become multiplicative rate effects. An interaction changes a rate ratio across groups rather than simply adding another independent multiplier.

Two-by-two grid of claim rates for binary factors A and B under a log link; moving from A = 0 to A = 1 multiplies the rate by 1.2 when B = 0 and by 1.8 when B = 1.

Each cell is the rate λ=exp⁡(β0+βAA+βBB+βABAB)\lambda=\exp(\beta_0+\beta_AA+\beta_BB+\beta_{AB}AB) for one combination of the binary factors. Moving from A=0A=0 to A=1A=1 multiplies the rate by eβA=1.2\mathrm{e}^{\beta_A}=1.2 when B=0B=0, but by eβA+βAB=1.2×1.5=1.8\mathrm{e}^{\beta_A+\beta_{AB}}=1.2\times1.5=1.8 when B=1B=1, the values in the example. Without the interaction term the two arrows would carry the same multiplier.

Poisson regression supplies the log-link interpretation of predictor coefficients as multiplicative count effects. With exposure offset in claim-frequency models, log⁡ei\log e_i is separated from those rating effects so that the coefficients compare claim rates at equal exposure.


Key Results

  • In log⁡λ=β0+βAA+βBB+βABAB\log\lambda=\beta_0+\beta_AA+\beta_BB+\beta_{AB}AB, with binary A,BA,B, the effect of AA is eβA+βABB\mathrm{e}^{\beta_A+\beta_{AB}B}.
  • Including all category indicators plus an intercept makes the design redundant: the indicators sum to the intercept column, so the coefficients are not identifiable unless a constraint is imposed, such as dropping a reference level.
  • Reference categories determine coefficient interpretation but do not change fitted means under an equivalent encoding.
  • A fitted association does not establish a causal effect of a rating factor.

Examples

If βA=log⁡1.2\beta_A=\log1.2 and βAB=log⁡1.5\beta_{AB}=\log1.5, the rate ratio for AA is 1.2 when B=0B=0, and 1.8 when B=1B=1.


Prerequisites



Sources

Aliases: categorical rating factors, multiplicative rating effects, rating factor, rating variable, tariff variable Keywords: dummy coding, reference level, interaction term, rate ratio, k - 1 indicator variables, identifiability Symbols: beta, lambda

Last updated: 17 October 2026 21:53