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Crossing Criteria for Risk Orders


Proposition

For absolutely continuous laws, suppose fX(t)−fY(t)f_X(t)-f_Y(t) is nonnegative before a threshold and nonpositive afterwards, with both densities integrating to one. Then FX(t)≥FY(t)F_X(t)\ge F_Y(t) for all tt, so X≤stYX\le_{\mathrm{st}}Y. The crossing criterion is sufficient; it is not a necessary requirement for stochastic order.


Interpretation

Integrating the signed density difference accumulates a nonnegative cumulative distribution function (CDF) difference before the crossing and then brings it back to zero. The direction of the signs matters more than merely counting intersections.

Left: densities f_X(t) = 2(1-t) and f_Y(t) = 2t crossing at t = 1/2, with the sign of f_X - f_Y marked; right: the CDF 2t - t^2 lying above t^2 on (0,1).

The figure draws the Examples case. On the left, fX−fYf_X-f_Y is positive before the crossing at 1/21/2 (blue region) and negative after it (red region). On the right, the CDF difference FX(t)−FY(t)=2t−2t2F_X(t)-F_Y(t)=2t-2t^2 accumulates these signed areas: it grows until t=1/2t=1/2 and then shrinks back to zero at t=1t=1 without becoming negative, so FX≥FYF_X\ge F_Y everywhere and X≤stYX\le_{\mathrm{st}}Y.


Key Results

  • With equal finite means, the pattern fY−fX≥0f_Y-f_X\ge0, then ≤0\le0, then ≥0\ge0 on three consecutive intervals gives the direct thicker-tailed comparison.
  • Multiple density crossings do not by themselves decide stochastic order.
  • Density comparisons are almost-everywhere comparisons; changing a density at one point changes no probabilities.
  • For discrete laws, use cumulative masses rather than derivatives.

Examples

On (0,1)(0,1), fX(t)=2(1−t)f_X(t)=2(1-t) and fY(t)=2tf_Y(t)=2t cross at 1/21/2. Their CDFs are 2t−t22t-t^2 and t2t^2, confirming FX(t)≥FY(t)F_X(t)\ge F_Y(t).


Prerequisites



Sources

Aliases: single density crossing criterion, two-crossing dispersion criterion, density crossing criterion, single-crossing criterion Keywords: sign change of f_X - f_Y, sufficient condition for stochastic order, three-interval sign pattern, densities crossing once

Last updated: 16 October 2026 22:28