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Constant Force Within a Year of Age


Definition

For integer age xx, constant-force interpolation, also called the constant force of mortality (CFM) assumption, takes μx+s=μx∗\mu_{x+s}=\mu_x^* for 0≤s<10\le s<1. If the annual survival probability is px>0p_x>0, the required force is μx∗=−log⁡px\mu_x^*=-\log p_x. Different years may have different forces.


Interpretation

Survival declines exponentially within each annual interval. A piecewise constant force can match all integer-age entries without assuming one exponential lifetime distribution over every age.

Force of mortality from age 60 to 61 when one-year survival is 0.9: the constant force minus log 0.9 with its shaded area, and the dashed UDD force rising from 0.100 to 0.111.

The figure takes p60=0.9p_{60}=0.9 from the Examples. Under CFM the force is flat at μ60∗=−log⁡0.9≈0.105\mu_{60}^*=-\log0.9\approx0.105 throughout the year; the shaded area up to ss is sμ60∗s\mu_{60}^*, so sp60=e−sμ60∗=0.9s{}_sp_{60}=\mathrm{e}^{-s\mu_{60}^*}=0.9^s. The dashed curve is the uniform distribution of deaths (UDD) force q60/(1−sq60)q_{60}/(1-sq_{60}), which rises from 0.1000.100 to about 0.1110.111. Both forces have area −log⁡0.9-\log0.9 over the whole year, so they agree at s=1s=1, but at s=12s=\tfrac{1}{2} CFM gives 0.9≈0.94868\sqrt{0.9}\approx0.94868 and UDD gives 0.950.95.

Change p60p_{60} and ss: the flat force μ60∗=−log⁡p60\mu^*_{60}=-\log p_{60} gives sp60=p60s{}_sp_{60}=p_{60}^s, while the dashed UDD force rises. Both have the same area over the year, so the two curves meet only at s=0s=0 and s=1s=1.

A life table supplies px=lx+1/lxp_x=l_{x+1}/l_x. Integrating a constant force of mortality gives exponential survival within the year; matching its one-year value to pxp_x determines μx∗=−log⁡px\mu_x^*=-\log p_x.


Key Results

  • spx=pxs{}_sp_x=p_x^s and lx+s=lxpxsl_{x+s}=l_xp_x^s for 0≤s≤10\le s\le1.
  • Within one interval, tpx+s=pxt{}_tp_{x+s}=p_x^t for s+t≤1s+t\le1.
  • For an interval crossing an integer age, multiply survival probabilities for its successive pieces.
  • CFM and UDD agree at integer ages but generally differ at fractional ages.

Examples

With p60=0.9p_{60}=0.9, half-year survival is 0.9≈0.94868\sqrt{0.9}\approx0.94868 under CFM, compared with 0.950.95 under UDD.


Prerequisites



Sources

Aliases: CFM interpolation, exponential life-table interpolation, CFM, constant force of mortality assumption, constant force assumption Keywords: fractional age assumption, s p x = p x to the power s, mu* = -log p x, piecewise constant force of mortality, exponential survival within the year Symbols: mu, square root

Last updated: 17 October 2026 21:53