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Complete and Curtate Expectation of Life


Definition

The complete expectation of life at age xx is e˚x=E[Tx]\mathring e_x=\mathbb{E}[T_x], whereas the curtate expectation is ex=E[Kx]e_x=\mathbb{E}[K_x]. Their nn-year term versions are E[min⁡(Tx,n)]\mathbb{E}[\min(T_x,n)] and E[min⁡(Kx,n)]\mathbb{E}[\min(K_x,n)], respectively.


Interpretation

The complete quantity includes fractions of the final year. The curtate quantity counts only completed years. A term expectation stops accumulating lifetime after a fixed horizon.

Survival curve exp(-0.1t) shown to time 30; the full area to infinity is 10, all unit-width bars sum to about 9.508, and all gaps total about 0.492.

The figure uses the Examples force λ=0.1\lambda=0.1, so tpx=e−0.1t{}_tp_x=\mathrm{e}^{-0.1t} (drawn up to t=30t=30). The full area to infinity is e˚x=10\mathring e_x=10; the visible part is 10(1−e−3)≈9.502110(1-\mathrm{e}^{-3})\approx9.5021. The bars have width one and take the height kpx{}_kp_x at the right end of each year, so the sum over all years is ex=∑k≥1kpx≈9.508\displaystyle e_x=\sum_{k\ge1}{}_kp_x\approx9.508. Only the first 30 bars are shown, with total ∑k=130e−0.1k≈9.0349\displaystyle \sum_{k=1}^{30}\mathrm{e}^{-0.1k}\approx9.0349. The red gaps between the bars and the curve are the fractional final years that the curtate count drops; over all years they total about 0.4920.492 (about 0.46720.4672 in the displayed interval), within the bound 0≤e˚x−ex≤10\le\mathring e_x-e_x\le1.

Change λ\lambda: e˚x\mathring e_x is the area under tpx{}_tp_x, exe_x the total area of the unit bars, and the red gaps add up to less than 1. Switch on the term version to stop both at nn years. The displayed window is finite; compare its shown contribution with the full lifetime value and omitted tail in the readout.

The curtate future lifetime KxK_x counts complete future years. Summing its tail probabilities therefore gives the curtate expectation, whereas integrating the tails of TxT_x includes the final fractional year.


Key Results

  • e˚x=∫0∞tpx dt\mathring e_x=\int_0^{\infty}{}_tp_x\,\mathrm{d}t and E[min⁡(Tx,n)]=∫0ntpx dt\mathbb{E}[\min(T_x,n)]=\int_0^n{}_tp_x\,\mathrm{d}t.
  • ex=∑k=1∞kpx\displaystyle e_x=\sum_{k=1}^{\infty}{}_kp_x and E[min⁡(Kx,n)]=∑k=1nkpx\displaystyle \mathbb{E}[\min(K_x,n)]=\sum_{k=1}^n{}_kp_x for integer nn.
  • When expectations are finite, 0≤e˚x−ex≤10\le\mathring e_x-e_x\le1. Under uniform distribution of deaths (UDD) at integer age the difference is 1/21/2.
  • E[Tx2]=2∫0∞t tpx dt\mathbb{E}[T_x^2]=2\int_0^\infty t\,{}_tp_x\,\mathrm{d}t when finite.

Examples

At force λ=0.1\lambda=0.1, the complete expectation is 10 years, while the curtate expectation is 1/(e0.1−1)≈9.5081/(\mathrm{e}^{0.1}-1)\approx9.508 years.


Prerequisites



Sources

Aliases: life expectancy, term expectation of life, complete expectation of life, curtate expectation of life, expected future lifetime, mean future lifetime, expected remaining lifetime, mean residual life Keywords: e circle x, integral of t p x, sum of k p x, difference at most one year, one half under UDD Symbols: infinity, integral, lambda, sum

Last updated: 27 October 2026 11:52