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Complete and Curtate Expectation of Life


Definition

The complete expectation of life at age xx is e˚x=E[Tx]\mathring e_x=\mathbb{E}[T_x], whereas the curtate expectation is ex=E[Kx]e_x=\mathbb{E}[K_x]. Their nn-year term versions are E[min⁡(Tx,n)]\mathbb{E}[\min(T_x,n)] and E[min⁡(Kx,n)]\mathbb{E}[\min(K_x,n)], respectively.


Interpretation

The complete quantity includes fractions of the final year. The curtate quantity counts only completed years. A term expectation stops accumulating lifetime after a fixed horizon.

Survival curve exp(-0.1t) shown to time 30; the full area to infinity is 10, all unit-width bars sum to about 9.508, and all gaps total about 0.492.

The figure uses the Examples force λ=0.1\lambda=0.1, so tpx=e−0.1t{}_tp_x=\mathrm{e}^{-0.1t} (drawn up to t=30t=30). The full area to infinity is e˚x=10\mathring e_x=10; the visible part is 10(1−e−3)≈9.502110(1-\mathrm{e}^{-3})\approx9.5021. The bars have width one and take the height kpx{}_kp_x at the right end of each year, so the sum over all years is ex=∑k≥1kpx≈9.508\displaystyle e_x=\sum_{k\ge1}{}_kp_x\approx9.508. Only the first 30 bars are shown, with total ∑k=130e−0.1k≈9.0349\displaystyle \sum_{k=1}^{30}\mathrm{e}^{-0.1k}\approx9.0349. The red gaps between the bars and the curve are the fractional final years that the curtate count drops; over all years they total about 0.4920.492 (about 0.46720.4672 in the displayed interval), within the bound 0≤e˚x−ex≤10\le\mathring e_x-e_x\le1.

The curtate future lifetime KxK_x counts complete future years. Summing its tail probabilities therefore gives the curtate expectation, whereas integrating the tails of TxT_x includes the final fractional year.


Key Results

  • e˚x=∫0∞tpx dt\mathring e_x=\int_0^{\infty}{}_tp_x\,\mathrm{d}t and E[min⁡(Tx,n)]=∫0ntpx dt\mathbb{E}[\min(T_x,n)]=\int_0^n{}_tp_x\,\mathrm{d}t.
  • ex=∑k=1∞kpx\displaystyle e_x=\sum_{k=1}^{\infty}{}_kp_x and E[min⁡(Kx,n)]=∑k=1nkpx\displaystyle \mathbb{E}[\min(K_x,n)]=\sum_{k=1}^n{}_kp_x for integer nn.
  • When expectations are finite, 0≤e˚x−ex≤10\le\mathring e_x-e_x\le1. Under uniform distribution of deaths (UDD) at integer age the difference is 1/21/2.
  • E[Tx2]=2∫0∞t tpx dt\mathbb{E}[T_x^2]=2\int_0^\infty t\,{}_tp_x\,\mathrm{d}t when finite.

Examples

At force λ=0.1\lambda=0.1, the complete expectation is 10 years, while the curtate expectation is 1/(e0.1−1)≈9.5081/(\mathrm{e}^{0.1}-1)\approx9.508 years.


Prerequisites



Sources

Aliases: life expectancy, term expectation of life, complete expectation of life, curtate expectation of life, expected future lifetime, mean future lifetime, expected remaining lifetime, mean residual life Keywords: e circle x, integral of t p x, sum of k p x, difference at most one year, one half under UDD Symbols: infinity, integral, lambda, sum

Last updated: 27 October 2026 11:52